Manchester City vs Napoli

BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 2.714 looks spot on for Man City vs Napoli. City are coming off a dominant display against United, they kept a clean sheet mainly because United's attack lacked finishing, but overall City do tend to concede against teams who show attacking intent. Napoli arrive in top form, fueled by new signings Kevin De Bruyne and Hojlund and a fresh tactical approach under Conte. Statistically, the last 4 meetings between these teams have all produced BTTS, which strongly supports this pick. Napoli have often struggled on English soil, but with their current squad's motivation and strength, they have enough to challenge City's defense. Importantly, City face a huge Premier League match against Arsenal at the Emirates just days after this fixture, so focus and energy might not be fully locked on Napoli, which further boosts the chance for BTTS to land in this spot. Also, Napoli have scored in 15 of their last 16 Champions League group stage matches.

Stamped by Stampo✅